Pages

Saturday, May 26, 2012

Early voting turnout disappointing – Repubs still outpacing Dems 3 to 1



Primary Election Day, Tuesday May 29, will be the last chance for voters to weigh in and pick the candidates of their liking

Note: Reasons to vote, in case you need any:

√ "Without the right to vote, we'd be living in a monarchy or dictatorship. WAKE UP!!!"
√ "Your well being. Our well being. No brainer there!"
√ "Supposedly, voters are more likely to pay attention to what politicians say and also to how much that manifests in real life. Voting forces us to stay in the game and watch what they're doing."
√ "Because over a million men and women have died to let you decide on things as big as who your leader will be, who speaks for you, and even things like who the sheriff of your town will be."
_______________

At the close of early voting Friday May 25, 7 pm 5,122 votes were cast in the Republican and Democratic primary elections, combined. It is a disappointingly low turnout considering that there are almost 97,000 voters registered in Hays County. Votes cast in the Republican primary totaled (R) 3,886 and votes cast in the Democratic primary totaled (D) 1,236.

"I consider the turnout to be very slow," said county elections administrator Joyce Cowan. Cowan made no prediction of what the turnout might be on primary election day on Tuesday.

Primary Election Day, Tuesday May 29, will be the last chance for voters to weigh in and pick the candidates of their liking. Polls will be open 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Registered voters can vote in either the Republican or Democratic primary.

Primary elections, in which the parties choose their nominees for the general election in November, are not known to attract great numbers of voters. An added problem in the current election cycle is confusion among voters resulting from redistricting. Hays County was split into three congressional districts and the boundaries have changed for county commissioners and voting precincts.

"We have had voters not knowing their Congressional Districts, etc.," Cowan said. "I would like to suggest voters try to get information on their polling location before going to vote (in the papers, websites, candidate's campaign materials, and of course our office)."

Sample map - New Voting Pct. 333
During early voting, voters could vote at any of five voting sites. On election day, May 29, voters must vote at their precinct voting location. (Check your yellow voter registration card for your precinct number, it's next to the date of birth box.) Click on these links for the voting locations for the Democratic primary and the Republican primary (then click on the small-print link near the top: May 29, 2012 polling places).

Two of the most watched races locally are for Sheriff and Precinct 3 County Commissioner. Current Sheriff Gary Cutler (FB) is facing a challenge from former sheriff and Texas Ranger Tommy Ratliff. In the commissioner's race, Sam Brannon (FB) is challenging two-term incumbent Will Conley. There are no Democratic candidates in these two races, so the final outcomes will be decided in the Republican primary.

The lopsided turnout in early voting in the Republican primary is a pretty clear sign that Democrats are crossing over to the Republican voting booth to have a say in the races for sheriff and county commissioner. No doubt the voters know these are very important local public offices. They carry considerable responsibility, power and authority, and, to you skeptics, they are also susceptible to abuse of power.

The sheriff's race is countywide. In Kyle and Buda, considered Democratic strongholds, votes cast in early voting went heavily Republican. In Buda, 701 votes were cast in the Republican primary and 224 in the Dem primary. In Kyle, 439 voted Republican and 234 Democratic.

The thinking has been that Democrats would come out heavily in Kyle and Buda in the Democratic primary to support popular Congressman Lloyd Doggett who is in a crucial primary election battle himself – and that does not appear to be happening.

So far, unfortunately, the races for sheriff and county commissioner have been marked by a lot of campaign hype and personal attacks. Hopefully, in the home stretch to primary Election Day Tuesday May 29, the candidates will do their best to resist lobbing bombs in their opponents' courtyards and focus on telling the public what exactly they intend to do for the citizens of Hays County if elected, or re-elected, to office.

– Bob Ochoa, Editor

EV results from the county elections and voter registration office (San Marcos results not included):

Wimberley
(R) 5/17 - 254 5/19 - 141 5/24 - 370 = 765
(D) 5/17 - 47 5/19 - 21 5/24 - 45 = 113

Kyle
(R) 5/14 -177 5/19 - 119 5/21 - 143 = 439
(D) 5/14 - 74 5/19 - 88 5/21 - 72 = 234

Buda
(R) 5/18 - 206 5/19 - 105 5/25 - 390 = 701
(D) 5/18 - 56 5/19 - 40 5/25 - 128 = 224

Dripping Springs
(R) 5/15 - 193 5/19 - 179 5/22 - 227 = 599
(D) 5/15 - 28 5/19 - 38 5/22 - 54 = 120
Republican Primary - 3,886
Democratic Primary - 1,236

Total EV - 5,122

10 comments:

Conservative with Ear to the Ground said...

Brannon 64%
Conley 36%

So far, in this Republican primary:
- Republican voters - 53% of vote.
- Independent voters (no prior primary voting in '08 or '10) - 21%
- Democratic voters - 15%
- Swing votes (voted both Republican and Democratic in the last two primaries) - 11%

Brannon wins Republican voters 55%-45%. They like his fiscal conservatism - No more debt. Conley has a slight edge inside the WVRG, but not as much as he thinks. Many R's are disgusted by the personal attacks on what they view as a qualified and well-meaning Republican candidate. This is 53% of the votes cast so far.

Brannon wins Independent voters 80%-20%. They like his fiscal conservatism and his commitment to "open, honest government". Brannon got his message out, and they're responding. They're also disgusted by the personal attacks. That's 21% of the votes cast so far.

Brannon wins Democrats 70%-30%. Conley's been buying the environmental-amenity crowd and its getting him some votes - more from the amenity folks than environmentalist. The "honest government" Dems outnumber the enviro-amenity voters, and go with Brannon. This is 15% of the vote so far.

Swing votes - Brannon wins the category 60%-40%. This is 11% of the vote.

Things look good for Brannon, in my opinion. He has been professional and dignified, and kept his head in this heated race. He's been pretty effective in making his case, and has earned trust outside the party's core, as well.

His supporters seem motivated and working. Conley isn't very popular outside of his core, and his core lacks enthusiasm.

Brannon has run a clean but aggressive race, and executed well on a comparatively small budget. If he does as well as Commissioner, Precinct 3 will be pleased.

guessing said...

Conley 51%
Brannon 49%

Cutler 58%
Ratliff 42%

Just a guess.

Anonymous said...

Conley 59%
Brannon 41%

margin of error -4/+4

600 polled

take this to the bank

Brannon was ran a spirited race but in the end he has offered no solutions, and people don't trust that he'll get the job done. Plus, with Conley people know for good or bad projects will get done for 3. People know that with growth comes more spending, with Conley at least 3 will get their piece of the pie, Brannon will vote NO NO NO and 3 will be left paying for projects in other parts of the county. Hays county is growing too fast to stop spending, the county revenues are way up so the spending is justified. Conley may be shady but he brings home the bacon. Brannon will bring nothing while I-35 will get it all.

That is all

Anonymous said...

That poll with the 4% margin of error ---- was that at a 95% or 99% level of confidence or, my goodness, was it done at an 80% level of confidence? Or is it possible that you have no idea what you are talking about?

Anonymous said...

Brannon 54%
Conley 46%

Brannon could have done better sharing his vision, but Conley has to duck his record, and I don't like that.

Shake Will's hand and thank him for his service, then place your vote for Sam.

Anonymous said...

My kind of elected official...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p-JkvS5Ey8&feature=relmfu

LadyBird said...

Ever wonder why people in the rural areas of Hays County might be a little hesitant to pay to watch the Corridor cities turn into Round Rock?

Ever wonder why some housing developer would choose to locate to an area with existing water shortages?

Ever wonder who pays politicians to support road and building expansions that the people living nearby are not interested in seeing happen?

Just more greed masquerading as progress.

Anonymous said...

FYI-Most of Buda is no longer in Congressman Doggett's district.

LaDeeDah said...

Is it just me or is Will Conley getting more tragic by the day? The emails and mailers I have been getting are increasingly more hostile and filled with accusations.

I suppose if I were fixing to lose a job that paid me $80K/year, I would be frantic, too.

Will, I understand your panic, you thought you had it sewn up, but public service is neither a full-time occupation nor a guaranteed career. You have to keep pleasing your public, and seems like they are far from pleased with you attitude, your behavior or campaign literature.

You should have thought twice before you began blaming Democrats for your own failures. That doesn't sit well with Democrats or Republicans.

Man up, boy.

Anonymous said...

I think your percentages were a little! That was just a good ole fashion spankin. Move on down the road SB. Go find another community to swindle